The Smartest Vanguard ETF to Buy With $500 Right Now


Classic exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are almost always a good investment. Your money will probably grow over time if invested in the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (NYSEMKT: DIA) or the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO). Their long-term returns will probably put even the best savings and money market accounts to shame, unless you’re getting started just before a steep market crash. Even then, time is your friend, and the market-tracking index funds should deliver strong returns in the long run.

That said, a more focused approach to ETFs can be helpful from time to time. For example, I picked up a few shares of the Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF (NYSEMKT: VGT) in the spring of 2022, because technology stocks looked undervalued at the time. That turned out to be a good idea, as the artificial intelligence (AI) boom kicked off just a few months later. Vanguard’s technology-focused fund has been crushing the more popular index funds from then to Jan. 7, 2025:

VGT Total Return Price Chart
VGT Total Return Price data by YCharts

But that fund may be running out of steam these days. I’m not sure how much longer it will outperform the broader market, given the extreme valuation ratios seen in this fund’s largest components. So I’m not buying more of the Vanguard IT fund right now, and might even trim my position a little bit to take advantage of lower-priced alternatives.

One of my favorite ideas in January 2025 is the Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (NYSEMKT: MGV). Let me show you why this could be the perfect time to grab a few shares in this paragon of value and stability.

I’m glad the Mega Cap Value ETF didn’t end up in my portfolio 31 months ago. Its total return over that span stopped at 31%, far below the general market and the undervalued ETF I actually selected.

Things have changed, though. At this point, the soaring share prices of the “Magnificent Seven” stocks have thrown the leading market trackers off-balance.

The Magnificent Seven names account for 34.3% of the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) index value right now. The average price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) in this group is a hefty 46.4. The average Magnificent Seven stock trades at 8.8 times sales (P/S), or 45.2 times free cash flow (P/FCF).

The numbers never tell the whole story, and I agree that these tech giants have earned their lofty valuations the hard way. Their AI expertise and other high-growth operations have resulted in soaring financial results, and there should be more to come in the next few years.



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